Miami Heat

Name	Pos	Age	GP	MPG	Pts	Reb	AST	Stl	Blk	CraftedOPM	CraftedDPM	CraftedPM	WARP
Bam Adebayo	C	28	73	32.4	20.1	10	3.2	1.2	0.7	1.4	2.3	3.8 98%	7.4
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	SF	24	75	28.3	15.4	5	4.7	0.7	0.3	-0.3	-0.7	-1 43%	1.48
Andrew Wiggins	SF	30	68	30.3	15.4	4.8	2.7	1.1	1	-0.3	0.3	0 64%	2.45
Davion Mitchell	PG	27	70	28.6	9.3	2.7	6.5	1	0.2	-0.2	0.9	0.7 74%	3.12
Pelle Larsson	SG	24	70	26.4	11.4	3.5	3.4	0.7	0.2	-0.3	0.4	0.1 67%	2.32
Norman Powell	SG	32	58	29.6	21.7	3.5	2.5	1.1	0.2	1.6	-0.4	1.2 80%	3.07
Kel'el Ware	C	21	77	22.1	11.1	9	0.7	0.8	1.1	0.1	0.2	0.3 69%	2.34
Simone Fontecchio	PF	30	70	16.7	8.5	3	1.4	0.5	0.1	0	-0.5	-0.5 57%	1.13
Dru Smith	SG	28	70	16.3	5.6	2.5	2.6	1.4	0.3	-1.4	2.1	0.8 75%	1.81
Tyler Herro	SG	26	33	31.3	20.5	4.8	4.1	0.7	0.4	1.8	-1.3	0.5 71%	1.49
Kasparas Jakučionis	PG	19	53	17.8	6.2	2.6	2.6	0.6	0.1	-0.6	-0.1	-0.7 53%	0.81
Nikola Jović	PF	22	47	17.2	7.3	3.3	2.2	0.6	0.4	-1.4	0.5	-0.9 46%	0.6
Keshad Johnson	SF	24	32	8.7	4.3	1.9	0.3	0.5	0.3	-1.2	-0.4	-1.6 29%	0.11
Vladislav Goldin	C	24	9	2.7	0.8	1	0.3	0	0.3	-1.2	-0.4	-1.6 30%	0.01
Terry Rozier	PG	31								-1	-0.8	-1.8 24%	0

Projected Net Rating/100

3.2

Lineup Synergy Rating

4.9

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	VersatilityRating	CraftedDPM
Tyler Herro	SG	26	33	31.3	20.5	4.8	4.1	0.7	0.4	60.5	-1.3 10%
Norman Powell	SG	32	58	29.6	21.7	3.5	2.5	1.1	0.2	53	-0.4 36%
Dru Smith	SG	28	70	16.3	5.6	2.5	2.6	1.4	0.3	35.7	2.1 93%
Davion Mitchell	PG	27	70	28.6	9.3	2.7	6.5	1	0.2	35.5	0.9 78%

Each team's projected most versatile 5 man lineup, their projected net rating per 100 possessions, and the lineups synergy rating.

Short Story:

Remove the least versatile defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Remove the horrible defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Spit out the four best defenders of the remaining PG's, SG's and SF's.
Spit out the two most versatile defenders among the remaining PF's and Centers.
Spit out the 5 best defenders among the remaining 6 players.

This weeds out the defenders who would likely be exposed in a playoff matchup as well as the least switchable players (think Trey Burke/Greg Monroe). The idea was to find the best/most versatile lineup for those tough playoff matchups.

*Some teams may not have 5 players meet these qualification. These teams are usually garbage, or they have a position of great weakness and therefore did not have 5 players qualify.

Versatility Rating comes from a project put together by both Krishna Narsu and Patrick Miller of Nylon Calculus. A quick, concise explanation of Versatility Rating (higher is better) can be found on the glossary page.

Projected Net Rating/100

7.0

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.9

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM
Bam Adebayo	C	28	73	32.4	20.1	10	3.2	1.2	0.7	3.8 98%
Norman Powell	SG	32	58	29.6	21.7	3.5	2.5	1.1	0.2	1.2 80%
Dru Smith	SG	28	70	16.3	5.6	2.5	2.6	1.4	0.3	0.8 75%
Davion Mitchell	PG	27	70	28.6	9.3	2.7	6.5	1	0.2	0.7 74%
Tyler Herro	SG	26	33	31.3	20.5	4.8	4.1	0.7	0.4	0.5 71%

Esimated Win Total*

42.9

Name	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM	CraftedPeakPM	PeakWAR
Kasparas Jakučionis	19	53	17.8	6.2	2.6	2.6	0.6	0.1	-0.7 53%	2.96	6
Kel'el Ware	21	77	22.1	11.1	9	0.7	0.8	1.1	0.3 69%	2.32	4.5
Pelle Larsson	24	70	26.4	11.4	3.5	3.4	0.7	0.2	0.1 67%	0.24	2.4
Nikola Jović	22	47	17.2	7.3	3.3	2.2	0.6	0.4	-0.9 46%	0.37	2.3
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	24	75	28.3	15.4	5	4.7	0.7	0.3	-1 43%	-0.28	1.7

Young Core - players must be 26 or younger with a PeakWAR > 1 to qualify. Win Shares come from FiveThirtyEight's CARMELO Projections. Projections go out to 2025 and take each players peak projected season.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a crude estimate based upon adding these players to a team with slightly below average talent (a 26 win team). We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average (~ -.5 plus minus) players. We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins.

The idea being that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 9.1 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 9.1 as he goes under.

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Miami Heat Team Stats

Miami Heat Player Stats

Roster

Versatile

Closers

Young Core

Projected Net Rating/100

3.2

Lineup Synergy Rating

4.9

Projected Net Rating/100

7.0

Lineup Synergy Rating

5.9

Esimated Win Total*

42.9

Miami Heat Talent Breakdown

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