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2023-24 NBA Projections

With the season fast approaching, we have run projections for the upcoming season using the multiyear, predictive version of our Crafted Plus Minus. Each team has a projected record, offensive rating, defensive rating and net rating for the coming season.

TeamConferenceRecordVegasOffRtgDefRtgNetRtg
1BostonEast56 - 2654.5119.1112.26.9
2MilwaukeeEast50 - 3253.5118114.13.9
3Golden StateWest48 - 3447.5116112.33.7
4ClevelandEast50 - 3250.5116.3112.83.5
5PhoenixWest49 - 3351.5118.11153.1
6PhiladelphiaEast46 - 3647.5116.5113.72.8
7MinnesotaWest47 - 3544.5114111.22.8
8MemphisWest47 - 3545.5114.9112.22.7
9New YorkEast47 - 3545.5117.4114.92.5
10DenverWest48 - 3452.5116.9114.62.3
11DallasWest44 - 3844.5117.2115.51.7
12New OrleansWest44 - 3844.5115.6114.21.4
13LA ClippersWest42 - 4046.5115.1114.50.6
14TorontoEast42 - 4036.5113.6113.20.4
15LA LakersWest41 - 4147.5114.9114.60.3
16MiamiEast42 - 4045.5114.1114.3-0.1
17AtlantaEast43 - 3942.5117.2117.2-0.1
18BrooklynEast40 - 4237.5113.1113.3-0.1
19OklahomaWest41 - 4144.5113.8114.7-0.9
20SacramentoWest37 - 4544.5116.6117.9-1.2
21IndianaEast38 - 4438.5114.8116.5-1.7
22UtahWest37 - 4535.5114.2116.5-2.3
23ChicagoEast36 - 4637.5112.3114.6-2.3
24OrlandoEast34 - 4837.5111.9114.3-2.5
25HoustonWest34 - 4831.5112.8115.5-2.7
26PortlandWest32 - 5027.5113115.7-2.8
27CharlotteEast33 - 4931.5112116.4-4.4
28WashingtonEast28 - 5424.5111.1115.9-4.8
29San AntonioWest28 - 5429.5111.3117.6-6.3
30DetroitEast26 - 5627.5112.3118.6-6.3