Washington Wizards

Name	Pos	Age	GP	MPG	Pts	Reb	AST	Stl	Blk	CraftedOPM	CraftedDPM	CraftedPM	WARP
Bub Carrington	SG	20	82	27.7	10.7	3.4	4.6	0.6	0.2	-1.3	-1	-2.3 14%	0.05
Will Riley	SF	19	74	22.1	10.3	2.9	2	0.7	0.1	-1.3	-2	-3.3 4%	-0.83
Bilal Coulibaly	SF	21	56	26.2	11.7	4.3	2.6	1.3	1	-1.4	0.2	-1.3 35%	0.8
Tre Johnson	SG	19	60	24	12.2	2.8	2	0.6	0.3	-1	-1.6	-2.7 9%	-0.23
Kyshawn George	SF	22	48	29	14.8	5.1	4.5	1	0.9	-0.9	0	-0.9 47%	1.05
Justin Champagnie	SF	24	69	20	8.7	5.6	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.1	-0.6	-0.5 57%	1.31
Alex Sarr	PF	20	48	27.2	16.3	7.4	2.7	0.8	2	-0.7	-0.3	-0.9 45%	0.95
Jamir Watkins	SG	24	50	20.6	7.4	3.9	1.3	1.1	0.5	-1.7	0.9	-0.8 48%	0.8
Anthony Gill	PF	33	55	17.3	5.8	2.9	1.3	0.6	0.4	-2.3	-0.5	-2.9 8%	-0.25
Jaden Hardy	SG	23	57	15.8	9.2	1.5	1	0.3	0.1	-0.6	-1.9	-2.5 11%	-0.05
Tristan Vukcevic	C	22	49	13.7	9	3	1.1	0.5	0.7	-0.5	-0.5	-1 41%	0.45
Anthony Davis	C	32	20	31.3	20.4	11.1	2.8	1.1	1.7	0.9	1.9	2.8 94%	1.66
D'Angelo Russell	PG	29	26	19	10.2	2.3	4	0.5	0.1	-0.1	-0.5	-0.5 56%	0.46
Trae Young	PG	27	15	25.6	17.9	2	8	0.9	0.1	3.3	-2.9	0.5 71%	0.55
Cam Whitmore	SF	21	21	16.9	9.2	2.8	0.7	0.7	0.4	-0.9	-1.7	-2.6 10%	-0.04
Danté Exum	SG	30								0.2	-0.2	0 65%	0

Projected Net Rating/100

-1.3

Lineup Synergy Rating

2.8

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	VersatilityRating	CraftedDPM
Jamir Watkins	SG	24	50	20.6	7.4	3.9	1.3	1.1	0.5	100	0.9 78%
Justin Champagnie	SF	24	69	20	8.7	5.6	1.2	0.9	0.6	94.5	-0.6 31%
D'Angelo Russell	PG	29	26	19	10.2	2.3	4	0.5	0.1	70.5	-0.5 34%
Trae Young	PG	27	15	25.6	17.9	2	8	0.9	0.1	21.1	-2.9 1%

Each team's projected most versatile 5 man lineup, their projected net rating per 100 possessions, and the lineups synergy rating.

Short Story:

Remove the least versatile defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Remove the horrible defenders, unless they happen to be a superstar.
Spit out the four best defenders of the remaining PG's, SG's and SF's.
Spit out the two most versatile defenders among the remaining PF's and Centers.
Spit out the 5 best defenders among the remaining 6 players.

This weeds out the defenders who would likely be exposed in a playoff matchup as well as the least switchable players (think Trey Burke/Greg Monroe). The idea was to find the best/most versatile lineup for those tough playoff matchups.

*Some teams may not have 5 players meet these qualification. These teams are usually garbage, or they have a position of great weakness and therefore did not have 5 players qualify.

Versatility Rating comes from a project put together by both Krishna Narsu and Patrick Miller of Nylon Calculus. A quick, concise explanation of Versatility Rating (higher is better) can be found on the glossary page.

Projected Net Rating/100

1.5

Lineup Synergy Rating

3.4

Name	Pos	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM
Anthony Davis	C	32	20	31.3	20.4	11.1	2.8	1.1	1.7	2.8 94%
Trae Young	PG	27	15	25.6	17.9	2	8	0.9	0.1	0.5 71%
D'Angelo Russell	PG	29	26	19	10.2	2.3	4	0.5	0.1	-0.5 56%
Justin Champagnie	SF	24	69	20	8.7	5.6	1.2	0.9	0.6	-0.5 57%
Jamir Watkins	SG	24	50	20.6	7.4	3.9	1.3	1.1	0.5	-0.8 48%

Esimated Win Total*

41.8

Name	Age	Games	Minutes	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Steals	Blocks	CraftedPM	CraftedPeakPM	PeakWAR
Tre Johnson	19	60	24	12.2	2.8	2	0.6	0.3	-2.7 9%	1.15	3.8
Alex Sarr	20	48	27.2	16.3	7.4	2.7	0.8	2	-0.9 45%	1.43	3.3
Bilal Coulibaly	21	56	26.2	11.7	4.3	2.6	1.3	1	-1.3 35%	0.96	3.1
Bub Carrington	20	82	27.7	10.7	3.4	4.6	0.6	0.2	-2.3 14%	1.13	3.1
Will Riley	19	74	22.1	10.3	2.9	2	0.7	0.1	-3.3 4%	0.6	2.5

Young Core - players must be 26 or younger with a PeakWAR > 1 to qualify. Win Shares come from FiveThirtyEight's CARMELO Projections. Projections go out to 2025 and take each players peak projected season.

* Estimated Win Total - This is a crude estimate based upon adding these players to a team with slightly below average talent (a 26 win team). We came to this number by taking an average team's minutes distribution, making their three highest minute players replacement level (using -2.5 plus minus as replacement level), and filling out the roster with a group of average (~ -.5 plus minus) players. We then ran this roster through a simulated NBA schedule 100 times, and came out with about 26 wins.

The idea being that the players from the Young Core replace the minutes played by the replacement level players from the 26 win team.

*The Wins Above Replacement player projections come from our player projections, and update periodically throughout the season. While a player like Jayson Tatum is listed at a 9.1 peak WAR, this is what we consider his most likely outcome. It is just as possible that he goes over that 9.1 as he goes under.

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